A halin yanzu, idan babu wani mummunan sakamako, Hebei da sauran wurare sun zama wuraren da annobar ta fi yawa a yankin Hong Kong, a ganina, a cikin rikice-rikicen barkewar cutar, Hong Kong ta shiga cikin jerin kafin bikin bazara kafin lokacin hutu.
A gefe guda, barkewar masana'antar ƙarfe da ƙarfe ta fi mai da hankali kan zagayawar jini da tasirin hanyar haɗin gwiwa, tasirin da ke kan tsarin samarwa yana da ƙaranci. Saboda dalilan rigakafi da iko da annoba, Hebei da sauran wurare suna rufe ayyukan ta hanyar jere, buƙatar ta ƙara faɗuwa, musamman ma da aka wakilta ta hanyar ginin rebar, raguwar ƙarfe ya fi bayyana, a cewar ƙungiyoyin masana'antu a makon farko na Janairu na wannan shekara (Janairu 4 ~ 8 ga Janairu), matsakaicin adadin kowace rana na tan 178000. Kuma har zuwa 21 ga Janairu, matsakaicin adadin yau da kullun na makonnin ƙarfe na gini ya ragu zuwa tan 111000. Don haka, a ƙarƙashin rikicewar barkewar cutar, buƙatar kasuwa ta ƙara rauni, mafi ƙarfi a lokacin hutu.
A gefe guda kuma, farashin hunturu yana da girma. Daga cikin manyan manufofin da ake da su a yanzu, farashin rebar galibi ana sarrafa shi da yuan 4050/ton, ƙasa da farashin kasuwa na yanzu. Yuan 200/ton zuwa yuan 300/ton. Tare da yadda aka saba, yuan 3500/ton ~ yuan 3800/ton yana da hunturu, idan aka kwatanta da farashin yanzu don jawo hankalin 'yan kasuwa ba shi da girma. Musamman a yankin da ke ƙarƙashin yanayin annoba, har yanzu akwai rashin tabbas, 'yan kasuwa suna da sha'awar hunturu a bayyane yake ƙasa da wannan shekarar. Marubucin ya annabta cewa irin wannan hunturu a wannan shekarar zai yi ƙasa da yadda aka saba, buƙatarsa tana da wahalar sake dawowa sosai kafin bikin bazara, ko kuma za a sayar da shi kai tsaye a lokacin hutu.
Bugu da ƙari, Hong Kong ta lissafa wata alama a gaba kafin lokacin hutun kakar wasa, aikin jan hankalin gaba a kan farashin raguwa nan take. A farkon barkewar cutar, asusun kasuwar Futures daga rebar futures ya tashi a lokacin da ya girma zuwa kasuwar ƙarfe, coke da sauran albarkatun ƙasa, da kuma babban jan hankali, wanda ya sake dawowa a kasuwar da ke ci gaba.
Duk da haka, raunin kasuwar nan gaba, wanda kuma a hankali ya shiga cikin zagayowar daidaitawar girgiza, kasuwar a ƙarshen lokaci yana da wuya a samar da tallafi mai ƙarfi, kamar yadda manufofin farashin masana'antar ƙarfe suka kulle, ingantaccen aiki na sararin kasuwar za a ƙara matsewa, farashin ƙarfe zai shiga cikin ƙarin girgiza don daidaita farashi. Koyaya, ya kamata a lura cewa farashin ma'adinan ƙarfe na yanzu na kashi 62% yana da tsayawa 10 a jere sama da $170 / tan, farashin coke kuma ya ƙare zagaye na 14, babban farashin tasirin tallafin farashin ƙarfe har yanzu yana cikin masana'antar ƙarfe don wuce matsin lamba na farashi, babban yuwuwar zai zama ƙaruwa a farashin masana'antar ƙarfe. Marubucin yana tunanin cewa, har ma a lokacin hutu, zurfin daidaita farashin ƙarfe na sararin samaniya kuma ba shi da girma.
Lokacin Saƙo: Janairu-29-2021
